NCAAF Predictions

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Marshall Thundering Herd Predictions

Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 7:00pm EST at Joan C. Edwards Stadium, Huntington, WV

Middle Tennessee Blue

Raiders

Spread +13.5
@
Marshall

Thundering Herd

0-1
Spread -13.5
50% 50%
Spread Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders +13.5 Marshall Thundering Herd -13.5
Moneyline Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders +410 Marshall Thundering Herd -550
Total Over 56.5 (-112) Under 56.5 (-108)

Who wins this game?

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Marshall vs. Middle Tennessee Prediction: Can the Herd Cover -13.5?

Analysis updated September 11, 2026 at 6:20 AM CDT

Marshall threw for just 102 yards at Penn State. Middle Tennessee scored 38 against Murray State, but those results don't establish an edge against SPF's spread.

What the openers tell us

Marshall must turn a scoreless opener into a win by at least 14 points to cover SPF's -13.5 against Middle Tennessee. Marshall University Athletics reports that Carlos Del Rio-Wilson completed 17 of 25 passes for 102 yards in the 45-0 loss at No. 18 Penn State. Those completions produced little yardage, leaving the Herd's scoring ability difficult to judge against this opponent.

The same official preview reports that Middle Tennessee beat Murray State 38-14 in a weather-shortened opener. Roman Gagliano threw for 200 yards and two touchdowns, while Antonio Martin Jr. rushed for 104 yards on 15 carries. That shows production through the air and on the ground, but it doesn't establish how either will translate against Marshall.

Betting decision

SPF lists Marshall at -550 and Middle Tennessee at +410. Marshall is the tentative winner pick, consistent with its favorite status, but neither opener provides a sound basis for estimating the winning margin or backing either moneyline. The wager is Pass.

The total is 56.5, with over -112 and under -108. A shutout against Penn State and a shortened game against Murray State offer too little comparable scoring evidence for a total bet.

Pick Marshall Thundering Herd
Confidence low
Betting lean Pass
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