Oklahoma Sooners vs Michigan Wolverines Predictions

Mateer's opener gives Oklahoma the edge

John Mateer threw for 225 yards and three touchdowns on 11 completions in Oklahoma's 51-0 win over UTEP, according to CBS Sports. Michigan edged Western Michigan 13-12, with Bryce Underwood throwing a fourth-quarter interception. That contrast makes Oklahoma the tentative winner pick, though results against different opponents don't establish a 5.5-point advantage, the spread at SPF.

Fasusi's absence limits the betting case

Stormin' in Norman, an Oklahoma-focused publication, reports that starting left tackle Michael Fasusi will miss the game with a shoulder injury. Center Jake Maikkula will return and start, and offensive lineman Ryan Fodje also returns after both missed the opener with knee injuries. Freshman Noah Best is expected to start at right guard after playing center in Week 1. Those returns restore options, but they don't settle how Oklahoma will protect Mateer without Fasusi.

SPF lists Oklahoma at -218 on the moneyline, requiring roughly a 68.6% win probability to break even. One strong opener doesn't establish that level of confidence, and the offensive line changes don't establish value on Michigan +5.5 either. The wager is Pass.