Memphis Tigers vs Boise State Broncos Predictions

Can Memphis sustain its rushing success?

Memphis is averaging 265 rushing yards through two games, according to Yahoo Sports / SB Nation’s game preview. Jaylin Carter supplied 183 yards and four rushing touchdowns in a 42-24 win over Arkansas State. Sustaining that production would help the Tigers keep pace as 8.5-point underdogs at SPF, but those results don't establish how they'll run against Boise State.

The Broncos lost 34-27 at Oregon despite avoiding turnovers and committing only three penalties. Oregon outgained them 497-274. That gap raises questions about laying more than a touchdown, though it doesn't isolate a weakness Memphis can exploit on the ground.

Memphis defensive ends Elijah Kinsler and J'Mond Tapp have combined for six sacks through two games. Pressure could disrupt Maddux Madsen, who threw three touchdown passes against Oregon. The Tigers also carry their own turnover risk: Marcus Stokes threw two interceptions in 15 attempts against Arkansas State.

Betting decision

Pass. Boise State is the market favorite at -355, with Memphis +280, but these early results don't establish a worthwhile moneyline or spread wager. SPF's total is 54.5, with over -120 and under +100. Without a clearer read on pace and defensive performance, the total is also a pass.