Jacksonville State
Gamecocks
3-0
Spread
-3
NCAAF Predictions
Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs New Mexico State Aggies Predictions
Wednesday, October 28, 2026 at 8:00pm EST at Aggie Memorial Stadium, Las Cruces, NM
@
New Mexico State
Aggies
2-1
Spread
+3
50%
50%
Spread
Jacksonville State Gamecocks -3
New Mexico State Aggies +3
Moneyline
Jacksonville State Gamecocks -155
New Mexico State Aggies +130
Total
Over 50.5 (-108)
Under 50.5 (-112)
Professional Picks
16 listed
Professional Picks On This Game
Tom Strickland
Total pick
Wes Salvato
Total pick
Garrett Perry
Spread pick
Simon Says
Spread pick
Simon Says
Total pick
King Jon Sanderson
Spread pick
Don Williams
Spread pick
Elijah Murtah
Spread pick
Eli Rothstein
Spread pick
Primetime Ryan Johnson
Total pick
Chris Cohen
Spread pick
Danny Soros
Total pick
Frank Obst
Spread pick
Jason Manning
Total pick
Carter Stevenson
Total pick
Casper Kohke
Total pick
Jacksonville State vs. New Mexico State Prediction: Creel Makes Gamecocks the Likely Winner
Analysis updated October 28, 2026 at 7:19 AM CDT
Caden Creel leads Conference USA in total offense, but James Jones gives New Mexico State a way to keep Wednesday’s game close.
Creel gives Jacksonville State the edge
Jacksonville State University Athletics reports that quarterback Caden Creel averages a Conference USA-best 305.3 total-offense yards per game. The Gamecocks have won four straight and enter Las Cruces at 3-0 in conference play, making them the more likely winner at New Mexico State.
New Mexico State is 2-1 in Conference USA after a 30-24 win at Sam Houston. James Jones ran for 178 yards and a touchdown in that victory, and he averages 111 rushing yards per game and 6.5 yards per carry. His production gives the Aggies a credible path to staying within one score.
The price calls for caution
SportsPicksForum lists Jacksonville State as a 3-point road favorite and -162 on the moneyline. New Mexico State is +3 and +136, while the total is 49.5. The Gamecocks’ stronger conference record and Creel’s production support the likely winner, but they don’t establish value at either Jacksonville State price.
New Mexico State allows 109.1 rushing yards per game, but the available evidence doesn’t include enough detail about Jacksonville State’s rushing attack to turn that figure into a spread advantage. Confirmed starter and injury information is also unavailable, so Pass is more responsible than assuming missing information favors either side.
Public money does not settle the matchup
Wise Guy Team, a betting-splits site, reports that one DraftKings sample had 70% of moneyline money and 85% of spread money on Jacksonville State. The sample isn’t market-wide, and no line-movement evidence is available, so those percentages don’t show that Jacksonville State -3 or -162 offers value.
The same sample reported 99% of total money on Over 49.5. With no broader season scoring data or confirmed availability information, that one-sided split isn’t enough to support an over bet.
Pick
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
Confidence
low
Betting lean
Pass