Denver
Nuggets
Spread
-4.5
NBA Predictions
Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans Predictions
Wednesday, October 28, 2026 at 8:00pm EST at Smoothie King Center, New Orleans, LA
@
New Orleans
Pelicans
Spread
+4.5
50%
50%
Spread
Denver Nuggets -4.5
New Orleans Pelicans +4.5
Moneyline
Denver Nuggets -205
New Orleans Pelicans +170
Total
Over 240.5 (-112)
Under 240.5 (-108)
Who wins this game?
Professional Picks
2 available
Professional Picks On This Game
Denver Nuggets vs. New Orleans Pelicans Prediction: Rematch Price Makes Denver a Pass
Analysis updated October 28, 2026 at 1:23 AM CDT
Denver is the likely winner after beating New Orleans four days earlier, but the available evidence doesn't justify laying -185.
Denver returns as the favorite
Denver visits New Orleans at 8:00 PM ET on Oct. 28 after winning 141-135 at Smoothie King Center on Oct. 24. NBA House lists the Nuggets at 1-2 and the Pelicans at 0-3, making Denver the more supportable winner in the rematch.
The SPF price requires a stronger case. Denver is -185 on the moneyline and favored by 4.5 points, while New Orleans is +154 and getting 4.5. One six-point meeting doesn't show that either side offers value at those numbers.
Injuries limit the betting case
HoopMetrics lists Denver's Alpha Diallo, Julian Strawther and Spencer Jones out, with Cameron Johnson doubtful because of a right ankle sprain. New Orleans has Yves Missi out with a left knee contusion and bone bruise, while Jordan Poole is probable with an illness.
Those absences could change each team's rotation, and no confirmed starters are available. With no verified line movement or reliable public-betting split to add context, the best wager is Pass.
Pick
Denver Nuggets
Confidence
low
Betting lean
Pass