Ohio State Buckeyes vs Texas Longhorns Predictions

What the price supports

Ohio State and Texas both enter September 12 at 1-0 straight up and against the spread, according to FOX Sports. Those opening results don't separate the teams enough to justify a wager at SPF's Texas -1.5.

SPF lists Texas at -118 on the moneyline and Ohio State at -102. Texas is the market's likelier winner, but a narrow spread alone doesn't make its moneyline too expensive. Backing the Longhorns at -118 requires a win probability above roughly 54.1% to break even; there's no supported matchup case for putting them above that threshold.

FOX Sports reported two-way early action at Caesars Sports, with slightly more interest in Texas and the Over. That describes bettor preference, not a demonstrated edge. SPF's total is 49.5, with Over -105 and Under -115; the reported action doesn't justify either wager.