New York
Mets
Moneyline
+152
MLB Predictions
New York Mets vs New York Yankees Predictions
Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 1:35pm EST at Yankee Stadium, Bronx, New York
@
New York
Yankees
Moneyline
-185
50%
50%
Spread
New York Mets +1.5
New York Yankees -1.5
Moneyline
New York Mets +152
New York Yankees -185
Total
Over 8 (-118)
Under 8 (-102)
Professional Picks
1 listed
Professional Picks On This Game
Vic Diamante
Spread pick
Mets vs. Yankees Prediction: Cole’s Edge Faces a -185 Price
Analysis updated September 12, 2026 at 5:11 AM CDT
The Yankees are the winner lean, but the Mets have more available relievers. The betting call is Pass.
Cole gives the Yankees the edge
Gerrit Cole’s strikeout advantage is the strongest reason to favor the Yankees, but SPF’s -185 moneyline requires a win rate of about 64.9% to break even. CBS Sports lists Cole and Mets left-hander Zach Thornton as probable starters: Cole has 113 strikeouts in 111 innings, compared with Thornton’s 51 in 66⅓ innings. Their ERAs are closer, at 3.41 and 3.53, respectively.
RunsLeft, a site that publishes baseball game previews, lists the Yankees at 85-62 and the Mets at 68-79. That season gap supports a Yankees winner lean, although both teams are 7-3 over their last 10 games.
Bullpen availability limits the bet
RunsLeft lists eight Mets relievers as available, compared with four for the Yankees, who also have three listed as limited. Those counts don't establish bullpen quality, but they suggest fewer unrestricted options for the Yankees if Cole exits early. The pitching and record advantages aren't enough to justify backing -185 here; the Mets’ +152 price doesn't establish value by itself either. Pass.
Lineups hadn't been announced when RunsLeft updated its preview. With the batting orders unsettled and no clear scoring edge, there's also no total bet at SPF’s 8 runs, with over -118 and under -102.
Pick
New York Yankees
Confidence
low
Betting lean
Pass