New England
Patriots
Spread
+3
NFL Predictions
New England Patriots vs Jacksonville Jaguars Predictions
Sunday, September 27, 2026 at 1:00pm EST
@
Jacksonville
Jaguars
Spread
-3
50%
50%
Spread
New England Patriots +3
Jacksonville Jaguars -3
Moneyline
New England Patriots +136
Jacksonville Jaguars -162
Total
Over 46.5 (-115)
Under 46.5 (-105)
Professional Picks
6 listed
Professional Picks On This Game
Tom Strickland
Total pick
Oliver Peters
Total pick
Percy Walker
Total pick
Franny DiStefano
Spread pick
Lane Gibson
Total pick
Chris Cohen
Total pick
Patriots vs. Jaguars Prediction: Pass on Jacksonville at -155
Analysis updated September 27, 2026 at 7:14 AM CDT
Jacksonville needs better protection for Trevor Lawrence after struggling in Denver. The Jaguars are favored at home, but the available evidence does not justify their price.
Jacksonville's protection is the key matchup
Jacksonville Jaguars coverage reported that the team's pass protection struggled in its Week 2 loss at Denver and identified protecting Trevor Lawrence as a key issue against New England. That concern makes Jacksonville difficult to back at -155 or -3, even though the Jaguars are the likely winner at home.
The New England Patriots ruled outside linebacker Dre'Mont Jones out with a shoulder injury. Starting safety Craig Woodson and tight end Eli Raridon traveled to Jacksonville but remained questionable, leaving uncertainty on both sides of the ball. Wide receiver A.J. Brown is also on injured reserve.
Betting view
New England is +130, and the total is 45.5. There is no reliable game-specific evidence on recent scoring or current team performance to support the underdog or either side of the total. The best decision is to pass.
Pick
Jacksonville Jaguars
Confidence
low
Betting lean
Pass