NBA Predictions

Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Predictions

Wednesday, October 28, 2026 at 8:00pm EST at Target Center, Minneapolis, MN

Golden State

Warriors

Spread +4.5
@
Minnesota

Timberwolves

Spread -4.5
50% 50%
Spread Golden State Warriors +4.5 Minnesota Timberwolves -4.5
Moneyline Golden State Warriors +142 Minnesota Timberwolves -170
Total Over 227.5 (-110) Under 227.5 (-110)
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Warriors vs. Timberwolves Prediction: Injuries Make Minnesota’s Price Hard to Back

Analysis updated October 28, 2026 at 7:21 AM CDT

The SPF line makes Minnesota the likelier winner, but the Timberwolves are difficult to back at -162 or -3.5 without Anthony Edwards.

Key absences weaken both sides

Minnesota is a 3.5-point home favorite with a -162 moneyline, but Anthony Edwards is unavailable following a right-knee procedure. Yahoo Sports, in a report originally published by Heavy, says Edwards could miss up to two months. His absence makes laying the points or paying the moneyline price difficult to justify.

Golden State is missing Jimmy Butler, Moses Moody and Kristaps Porzingis. Stephen Curry, Draymond Green and Al Horford are available, while Yaxel Lendeborg is questionable because of left-foot inflammation and soreness. Lendeborg had 31 points, 12 rebounds and six assists in Monday’s 134-114 win over Denver, so his status matters for a Warriors team already short on players.

Prediction and betting pick

Minnesota is the predicted winner because the SPF market favors the Timberwolves, but the available evidence doesn’t support a wager. Golden State is +136 on the moneyline and +3.5 against the spread, yet its absences and Lendeborg’s uncertain status make the underdog difficult to back.

The total is 229.5, with the over at -108 and the under at -112. There are no confirmed starters or season statistics in the available reporting, so neither side of the total has enough factual support. Pass on the game.

Pick Minnesota Timberwolves
Confidence low
Betting lean Pass
Odds and availability can change. Confirm current markets before placing a wager.
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