Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Predictions
Thursday, September 24, 2026 at 7:05pm EST
Yankees
Professional Picks On This Game
Rays vs. Yankees Prediction: Schlittler Gives New York the Pitching Edge
Analysis updated September 24, 2026 at 7:15 AM CDT
New York gets the winner lean on its probable starter's numbers. Whether that edge warrants a bet is a separate question.
The probable pitchers favor New York
Cam Schlittler's 1.94 ERA against Ian Seymour's 4.38 gives the Yankees the clearest edge entering Thursday's game against Tampa Bay. SPF lists New York at -156 and the Rays at +129.
NYC Sports Wire, a New York sports publication, lists right-hander Schlittler at 14-6 and left-hander Seymour at 9-7. Both pitchers remain probable, and the report cautions that assignments can change on short notice.
Betting decision: Pass
At -156, New York needs to win about 60.9% of the time to break even. The ERA gap supports picking the Yankees, but it doesn't establish that win probability without a clearer view of the lineups and available relievers. Pass on the moneyline.
SPF's total is 6.5, with each side at -110. Schlittler's ERA alone isn't a reason to take the under: that wager also depends on Tampa Bay's pitching and both offenses. There's no supported total bet or two-run margin projection to justify New York -1.5.