MLB Predictions

Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Predictions

Thursday, September 24, 2026 at 7:05pm EST

Tampa Bay

Rays

Moneyline +123
@
New York

Yankees

Moneyline -149
50% 50%
Spread Tampa Bay Rays +1.5 New York Yankees -1.5
Moneyline Tampa Bay Rays +123 New York Yankees -149
Total Over 6 (-102) Under 6 (-118)
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Rays vs. Yankees Prediction: Schlittler Gives New York the Pitching Edge

Analysis updated September 24, 2026 at 7:15 AM CDT

New York gets the winner lean on its probable starter's numbers. Whether that edge warrants a bet is a separate question.

The probable pitchers favor New York

Cam Schlittler's 1.94 ERA against Ian Seymour's 4.38 gives the Yankees the clearest edge entering Thursday's game against Tampa Bay. SPF lists New York at -156 and the Rays at +129.

NYC Sports Wire, a New York sports publication, lists right-hander Schlittler at 14-6 and left-hander Seymour at 9-7. Both pitchers remain probable, and the report cautions that assignments can change on short notice.

Betting decision: Pass

At -156, New York needs to win about 60.9% of the time to break even. The ERA gap supports picking the Yankees, but it doesn't establish that win probability without a clearer view of the lineups and available relievers. Pass on the moneyline.

SPF's total is 6.5, with each side at -110. Schlittler's ERA alone isn't a reason to take the under: that wager also depends on Tampa Bay's pitching and both offenses. There's no supported total bet or two-run margin projection to justify New York -1.5.

Pick New York Yankees
Confidence low
Betting lean Pass
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