MLB Predictions

New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays Predictions

Monday, October 5, 2026 at 8:00pm EST

New York

Yankees

Moneyline -125
@
Tampa Bay

Rays

Moneyline +104
84% 16%
Spread New York Yankees -1.5 Tampa Bay Rays +1.5
Moneyline New York Yankees -125 Tampa Bay Rays +104
Total Over 6.5 (-107) Under 6.5 (-113)
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Yankees vs. Rays Prediction: Schlittler Gives New York the Edge in ALDS Game 2

Analysis updated October 5, 2026 at 7:13 AM CDT

New York has the stronger listed starter for Monday’s game at Tampa Bay, though the available evidence supports only a low-confidence Yankees moneyline lean.

Schlittler has the stronger numbers

The Yankees visit the Rays at Tropicana Field for ALDS Game 2 on Monday at 8 p.m. ET. An iHeart Sports game preview lists New York right-hander Cam Schlittler against Tampa Bay right-hander Freddy Peralta, while MLB.com’s Tampa Bay Rays page also identifies Peralta for this matchup.

Schlittler posted a 14-6 record, 1.95 ERA, 0.919 WHIP and 11.1 strikeouts per nine innings across 33 regular-season starts, according to iHeart Sports. Peralta finished 10-11 with a 4.42 ERA, 1.325 WHIP and 8.3 strikeouts per nine over 32 starts. That gap makes New York the more likely winner.

The price limits the wager

SportsPicksForum lists the Yankees at -131 and the Rays at +109, with New York -1.5 on the run line and the total at 6.5. Schlittler’s advantage supports the Yankees moneyline, but there isn’t confirmed lineup, injury, bullpen or recent-form information to justify laying 1.5 runs.

The pick is New York at -131, with low confidence. A projected score would require more information about both offenses and bullpens, so no score prediction is warranted.

Pick New York Yankees
Confidence low
Betting lean Yankees moneyline (-131)
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