Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Predictions, Odds & Picks

Fried gives New York the pitching edge

The Yankees face elimination at home Wednesday after Tampa Bay won the first two games of the best-of-five ALDS. FOX Sports / Associated Press lists Max Fried as New York’s probable starter and Nick Martinez as Tampa Bay’s for the 8:00 p.m. EDT start.

Fried went 5-5 with a 2.80 ERA and 0.99 WHIP, compared with Martinez’s 15-6 record, 3.10 ERA and 1.09 WHIP. Fried’s lower ERA and WHIP give New York a narrow pitching advantage, but Martinez’s numbers don’t support paying a heavy price against the Rays.

The moneyline costs too much

New York went 46-34 at home during the regular season, while Tampa Bay finished 43-38 on the road. The Yankees are the more likely winner at Yankee Stadium, but Tampa Bay’s winning road record and 2-0 series lead make New York’s -167 moneyline too expensive. The Rays are +138.

The total is 7, with the over priced at -120 and the under at +100. Both probable starters had ERAs near or below 3.00, but the available evidence doesn’t cover the offenses, bullpens or weather. There isn’t a sound totals wager without those details, and the run line also lacks enough support. Pass.

Pick New York Yankees

Confidence low

Betting lean Pass

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Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Predictions

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Rays vs. Yankees Prediction: Fried Gives New York an Edge, but -167 Is Too High

Fried gives New York the pitching edge

The moneyline costs too much