NBA Predictions

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Indiana Pacers Predictions

Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 7:00pm EST at Hilton Coliseum, Ames, IA

Minnesota

Timberwolves

Spread -2.5
@
Indiana

Pacers

Spread +2.5
50% 50%
Spread Minnesota Timberwolves -2.5 Indiana Pacers +2.5
Moneyline Minnesota Timberwolves -135 Indiana Pacers +114
Total Over 237.5 (-108) Under 237.5 (-112)
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Timberwolves vs. Pacers Prediction: Minnesota Favored, but Preseason Rotations Point to a Pass

Analysis updated October 7, 2026 at 7:10 AM CDT

The Timberwolves have already played a preseason game, while the Pacers have not disclosed their rotation plan. Minnesota is the likelier winner, but neither of its prices offers a sound wager.

Uncertain rotations weaken Minnesota's prices

Minnesota is a -166 moneyline favorite and lays 4.5 points against Indiana. The Timberwolves opened the preseason Monday with a 116-97 win over Milwaukee, but Yahoo Sports / Indianapolis Star reported that their starters played only the first half. That limited workload makes it hard to assume Minnesota's main players will get enough minutes to justify either price.

Indiana faces similar uncertainty in its preseason opener. Rick Carlisle declined to say how much Tyrese Haliburton or the other Pacers starters would play, according to Yahoo Sports / Indianapolis Star. Haliburton hoped to play at least the first half, but an undefined rotation adds too much risk to a Minnesota bet.

Timberwolves vs. Pacers prediction

Axios Indianapolis reported that Haliburton is set to return after saying he was fully healthy and had no restrictions. The Pacers' expected starting group also includes new center Ivica Zubac, Andrew Nembhard and Aaron Nesmith. Their availability gives Indiana enough talent to challenge Minnesota when the regulars are on the floor, though their minutes remain unclear.

Minnesota's earlier preseason start gives it a slight preparation edge and makes it the likelier winner. Still, there isn't enough information about playing time to support laying -166 or 4.5 points. The total of 238.5 carries the same rotation uncertainty, so the betting lean is Pass.

Pick Minnesota Timberwolves
Confidence low
Betting lean Pass
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