South Alabama
Jaguars
1-0
Spread
+9.5
NCAAF Predictions
South Alabama Jaguars vs Tulane Green Wave Predictions
Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 7:00pm EST at Yulman Stadium, New Orleans, LA
@
Tulane
Green Wave
0-1
Spread
-9.5
50%
50%
Spread
South Alabama Jaguars +9.5
Tulane Green Wave -9.5
Moneyline
South Alabama Jaguars +295
Tulane Green Wave -375
Total
Over 49.5 (-112)
Under 49.5 (-108)
Who wins this game?
Professional Picks
1 available
Professional Picks On This Game
Elijah Murtah
Total pick
South Alabama vs. Tulane Prediction: Can Tulane Cover After a Three-Point Opener?
Analysis updated September 12, 2026 at 6:15 AM CDT
Tulane's opening loss raises doubts about backing it to win by double digits against South Alabama.
Tulane needs more offense
Tulane produced 258 total yards in a 17-3 opening loss at Duke, according to sports betting publication Action Network. With SPF listing the Green Wave as 9.5-point home favorites, backing them means counting on a substantial scoring improvement.
South Alabama opened with a 39-14 win over Southeastern Louisiana. That result came against a different opponent, so the contrasting scores alone don't establish that the Jaguars can stay within the spread.
Betting decision
Tulane is the low-confidence winner pick, consistent with SPF's -375 moneyline, but that price requires a win probability of about 79% to break even. These opening results don't justify that level of confidence. South Alabama's +295 moneyline isn't a supported wager either.
SPF sets the total at 49.5, with over -112 and under -108. One game per team offers little basis for projecting their combined scoring. Pass on the game.
Pick
Tulane Green Wave
Confidence
low
Betting lean
Pass