UTSA Roadrunners vs Texas State Bobcats Predictions

Can UTSA carry its passing success to San Marcos?

Owen McCown completed 22 of 27 passes for 275 yards and three touchdowns in UTSA’s 45-16 win over UTRGV, according to Underdog Dynasty, a college football publication. That gives the Roadrunners an encouraging passing performance to build on as SPF lists them at +1.5 and +102 against Texas State.

Texas State lost 59-7 at Texas, but comparing those opening scores doesn’t settle this matchup: the teams faced different opponents. The same preview reports that the Bobcats rushed for 161 yards, while Brad Jackson completed 15 of 23 passes for 150 yards and an interception. Those results alone don’t justify backing UTSA or dismissing Texas State at -122.

Texas State Athletics reports that the Bobcats have won the past two meetings, including 43-36 at UTSA last September. They host Saturday’s game at UFCU Stadium, though that recent series record doesn’t establish whether they should cover -1.5.

Betting decision

Pass. One opener apiece against different opponents leaves too little basis to identify a worthwhile side. The total is 66.5, with either side at -110; last year’s 79-point meeting alone isn’t a sound reason to bet the over.