NCAAF Predictions

UT Martin Skyhawks vs West Virginia Mountaineers Predictions

Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 1:00pm EST at Milan Puskar Stadium, Morgantown, WV

UT Martin

Skyhawks

Spread +41.5
@
West Virginia

Mountaineers

Spread -41.5
50% 50%
Spread UT Martin Skyhawks +41.5 West Virginia Mountaineers -41.5
Moneyline UT Martin Skyhawks West Virginia Mountaineers
Total Over 55.5 (-112) Under 55.5 (-108)

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UT Martin vs. West Virginia prediction: Defensive questions at -41.5

Analysis updated September 12, 2026 at 5:08 AM CDT

The Mountaineers allowed 373 passing yards against Coastal Carolina. Covering SPF's spread requires a win by at least 42 points.

Can West Virginia build that margin?

West Virginia allowed 425 total yards in its 31-24 win over Coastal Carolina, including 373 through the air, according to sports betting publication Covers. That defensive performance raises a specific concern at SPF's West Virginia -41.5: conceding even a few scores would put a heavy burden on the offense to cover.

The Mountaineers are still the outright pick. Covers reports that Cam Cook rushed for 142 yards and two touchdowns against Coastal Carolina, while Michael Hawkins Jr. added 103 rushing yards and a score. Those performances give West Virginia a credible route to winning, though they don't establish an ability to win by six touchdowns.

UT Martin beat Chicago State 42-7 behind 216 rushing yards, and Tate Surber completed 16 of 23 passes for 222 yards with an interception. Production against Chicago State doesn't establish how effectively the Skyhawks can move the ball against West Virginia, so it isn't enough to recommend taking the points.

Betting decision

Pass on the spread. SPF's total is 55.5, with over -112 and under -108; the teams' latest results against different opponents don't establish a reliable scoring expectation for this matchup. Pass on the total as well. The moneyline price is unavailable, so there's no moneyline wager.

Pick West Virginia Mountaineers
Confidence low
Betting lean Pass
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