Utah Tech Trailblazers vs Utah State Aggies Predictions
Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 9:00pm EST
Aggies
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Utah Tech vs. Utah State Prediction: Aggies Likely Win, but Pass at -25.5
Analysis updated November 10, 2026 at 8:50 AM CST
Utah State has won its first two games by at least 34 points, while Utah Tech's turnover pressure adds risk to a large spread.
Utah State has controlled both home games
Utah State University Athletics reports that the Aggies held Omaha to 29 percent shooting in a 90-56 win. Utah State shot 58 percent and outscored Omaha 52-20 in the paint. Mason Falslev finished with 22 points, 10 rebounds, seven assists and four steals, giving the Aggies a clear matchup edge at home.
Utah State also beat Idaho State 94-58 and has won both previous meetings with Utah Tech in Logan, including a 92-62 result in 2024. Those results make Utah State the likely winner, but the SPF moneyline is prohibitive at -20000.
Why the 25.5-point spread is a pass
Utah Tech University Athletics reports that the Trailblazers have forced 16.5 turnovers per game while committing 9.0 through two contests. That pressure could create extra possessions and make Utah State's -25.5 spread harder to cover, even if the Aggies control the game.
Utah Tech's results also leave a wide range of possible outcomes. The Trailblazers lost 100-60 at New Mexico before beating Grace U 103-52. With only two games of evidence for each team and no confirmed lineup information, neither side of the spread is worth backing.
The total is 154.5, with the over at -115 and the under at -105. The available results don't provide enough evidence about how these teams will perform against each other, so the total is also a pass.