Evansville Purple Aces vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Predictions

Murphy Center favors Middle Tennessee

Middle Tennessee State University Athletics reports that the Blue Raiders have won all three home meetings with Evansville and lead the series 4-1. They also won the past two matchups while holding the Purple Aces to 72 points or fewer, making Middle Tennessee the likelier winner.

Evansville brings the better early record

Evansville entered 2-0, and AJ Casey averaged 19.0 points through two games. Middle Tennessee was 1-1 after an 89-45 loss at No. 17 Kansas, so the early results don't support laying 7.5 points with the Blue Raiders.

No current statistics, projected starters or availability reports are available. That leaves too little evidence to judge the 144.5 total or determine whether Middle Tennessee can repeat its previous defensive results against Evansville.

The moneyline costs too much

SPF lists Middle Tennessee at -360 and Evansville at +285. The Blue Raiders' home-series record supports picking them to win, but it doesn't justify the -360 price. With the spread also unsupported by current lineup and performance data, the betting lean is Pass.