Little Rock Trojans vs New Mexico Lobos Predictions
Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 9:00pm EST
Lobos
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Little Rock vs. New Mexico Prediction: Lobos Should Win, but the Price Is Too Steep
Analysis updated November 10, 2026 at 8:47 AM CST
New Mexico has won its first two games by at least 29 points, while Little Rock has started 0-2. The Lobos are the clear favorite, but their early results don't justify a bet at the available SPF prices.
New Mexico Has the Early Edge
The Breakdown, a college basketball statistics site, reports that New Mexico opened 2-0 by beating Utah Tech 100-60 and Northern Arizona 94-65. Little Rock lost 82-72 at VCU and 83-79 to Southeastern Louisiana. Those results make New Mexico the likely winner at home.
New Mexico has averaged 97.0 points and allowed 62.5 per game. Little Rock has scored 75.5 and allowed 82.5. The gap is substantial, but each team has played only twice.
Jake Hall leads New Mexico at 26.5 points per game, followed by Uriah Tenette at 18.5 and Hudson Mayes at 15.0. Little Rock's Jah'Likai King averages 20.5. The Breakdown lists New Mexico forward Rytis Petraitis as not with the team, while listing no Little Rock player as out.
Betting Outlook
New Mexico's -5000 moneyline offers little return for backing the likely winner. The Lobos are also favored by 22.5 points, but two dominant wins aren't enough to establish that they can reliably cover such a large spread.
The total is 158.5, with the over priced at -108 and the under at -112. New Mexico's scoring creates a path to the over, but two games don't provide a dependable read on either team's pace or scoring level. The best betting decision is Pass.