NCAAB Predictions

Memphis Tigers vs Vanderbilt Commodores Predictions

Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 7:15pm EST at Memorial Gymnasium (TN), Nashville, TN

Memphis

Tigers

Spread +14.5
@
Vanderbilt

Commodores

Spread -14.5
50% 50%
Spread Memphis Tigers +14.5 Vanderbilt Commodores -14.5
Moneyline Memphis Tigers +950 Vanderbilt Commodores -1650
Total Over 160.5 (-110) Under 160.5 (-110)

Who wins this game?

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Memphis vs. Vanderbilt Prediction: Pass on a Heavy Favorite

Analysis updated November 10, 2026 at 8:05 AM CST

Vanderbilt is the likely winner, but the SPF moneyline demands too much certainty and the spread and total lack enough current team data to support a bet.

A steep price with key players unavailable

Vanderbilt is the likely winner, but its -2100 SPF moneyline leaves little value if Memphis makes the game competitive. The Commodores also lay 16.5 points, Memphis is +1100 to win, and the total is 160.5.

Action Network lists Memphis guard Julius Thedford as questionable with an undisclosed issue and forward Nemanja Popovic as out because of eligibility. Vanderbilt guard/forward Gabe Nesmith is out with an ankle injury. Those absences create lineup uncertainty, and Thedford's status could further weaken Memphis, but they don't show that Vanderbilt will cover 16.5 points.

Betting outlook

DraftKings Network reported that Memphis +16.5 attracted 63% of spread tickets and 90% of spread handle across DraftKings Sportsbook jurisdictions. That support identifies the popular side at one sportsbook, but it doesn't replace missing evidence on confirmed starters, pace or current efficiency.

The moneyline is too expensive, the spread lacks a sound matchup case, and the 160.5 total can't be assessed without reliable pace or scoring data. Pass.

Pick Vanderbilt Commodores
Confidence low
Betting lean Pass
Odds and availability can change. Confirm current markets before placing a wager.
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