Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks Predictions
Monday, October 26, 2026 at 8:00pm EST at Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI
Bucks
0-3Who wins this game?
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Pacers vs. Bucks Prediction: Indiana's Road Price Is Too High
Analysis updated October 26, 2026 at 1:12 AM CDT
The Pacers are favored after a 2-1 start, but laying -170 on the road is difficult with Zubac unlikely to play.
Pacers face a short turnaround without a key center
Indiana is a 4.5-point road favorite after beating Brooklyn on Sunday, but Monday's game in Milwaukee is the Pacers' second in two nights. The Indiana Pacers / NBA.com preview lists Indiana at 2-1 and Milwaukee at 0-3, yet the short turnaround makes the Pacers' -170 moneyline less appealing.
Ivica Zubac sprained his left ankle against Brooklyn and did not return. The preview lists him as TBD but says he is likely to miss this game, with Jay Huff projected to start. Indiana also ruled out T.J. McConnell, Johnny Furphy and Ben Sheppard, while Milwaukee listed no injuries. That availability gap adds risk to backing the road favorite.
Prediction and betting lean
Tyrese Haliburton had 24 points and 10 assists against Brooklyn, and Pascal Siakam scored 21. Milwaukee can answer with Tyler Herro, who averaged 23.7 points through three games, and Jaime Jaquez Jr., who averaged 20.7 points and 8.7 rebounds. Those early numbers favor Indiana to win but don't justify its price under these scheduling and injury conditions.
Indiana is the likely winner, but neither Pacers -4.5 nor Bucks +4.5 has a clear edge from the available evidence. The moneyline is also too expensive at -170. Pass.