Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder Predictions
Monday, October 26, 2026 at 8:00pm EST at Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK
Thunder
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Phoenix Suns vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction: Pass at -9.5
Analysis updated October 26, 2026 at 1:14 AM CDT
The Thunder are favored by 9.5 points, but their incomplete availability picture makes that price difficult to support.
Williams' injury raises the risk
Oklahoma City is the likely winner at home, as its -395 moneyline against Phoenix (+310) indicates. The spread is a different question. Laying 9.5 points is difficult to justify without a confirmed Thunder lineup.
NBA / Associated Press reported that Jalen Williams suffered a serious lower-left-leg injury during Oklahoma City's 108-101 win over the Clippers on Sunday and was taken off on a stretcher. Oklahoma City did not immediately provide a diagnosis, leaving his availability against Phoenix uncertain.
The injury report remains incomplete
The NBA injury report listed Phoenix's Oso Ighodaro as doubtful with a right oblique strain. Drew Timme was out because of his G League two-way designation, while Mark Williams remained out following left shoulder surgery.
Oklahoma City had not submitted its injury report in the available version. With no confirmed starters or complete Thunder availability information, neither the -9.5 spread nor the 218.5 total has enough support for a wager.