Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders Predictions
Sunday, October 4, 2026 at 4:25pm EST at Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV
Raiders
Who wins this game?
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Chiefs vs. Raiders Prediction: Can Las Vegas Cover 4.5 Points?
Analysis updated October 4, 2026 at 7:24 AM CDT
Kansas City is favored by 4.5 points, but Las Vegas' nine takeaways and strong start make the home underdog more appealing than the Chiefs at -225.
Chiefs vs. Raiders outlook
Kansas City and Las Vegas both enter this Week 4 game at Allegiant Stadium with 3-0 records. Silver And Black Pride, SB Nation's Raiders site, reports that each team has scored 88 points. The Chiefs have allowed 50, four fewer than the Raiders.
Las Vegas has nine takeaways, while Kirk Cousins has thrown nine touchdown passes through three games, according to Silver And Black Pride. Those early results support taking 4.5 points with the Raiders, though the absence of injury information and confirmed lineup details keeps confidence low.
Prediction and betting lean
Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs are the likelier winners, but their small edge in points allowed doesn't make the -225 moneyline attractive. The lean is Raiders +4.5 in a matchup between unbeaten division rivals with identical scoring totals.