Philadelphia
Phillies
Moneyline
-171
MLB Predictions
Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Predictions
Sunday, September 20, 2026 at 1:10pm EST at Citi Field, Queens, New York
@
New York
Mets
Moneyline
+141
50%
50%
Spread
Philadelphia Phillies -1.5
New York Mets +1.5
Moneyline
Philadelphia Phillies -171
New York Mets +141
Total
Over 8 (-107)
Under 8 (-113)
Who wins this game?
Professional Picks
2 available
Professional Picks On This Game
Tom Strickland
Spread pick
Jonah Black
Money pick
Phillies vs. Mets: Bullpen Update Isn't Enough to Back Philadelphia
Analysis updated September 20, 2026 at 5:23 AM CDT
Orion Kerkering is headed to Triple-A, but that news alone doesn't establish whether Philadelphia is worth SPF's -171 price.
Betting outlook
Philadelphia faces a bullpen change ahead of Sunday's game against the Mets. Fantasy sports news site RotoWire reports that right-hander Orion Kerkering was told after the September 19 game that he will be optioned to Triple-A Lehigh Valley. That pending move doesn't establish how effective the remaining relievers will be or justify backing either side at SPF's prices: Phillies -171 and Mets +141.
Philadelphia's moneyline requires a win rate above 63.1% to break even. With starting pitchers and lineups unconfirmed, there's no supported matchup case for that probability. The Mets' plus price doesn't establish value either.
SPF lists Philadelphia -1.5 and New York +1.5 on the run line, with a total of 8 priced at over -107 and under -113. The unresolved pitching matchup also prevents a supported margin or scoring projection. Pass on all three markets.
Confidence
low
Betting lean
Pass