Toronto
Raptors
Spread
+4.5
NBA Predictions
Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets Predictions
Wednesday, November 4, 2026 at 9:00pm EST at Ball Arena, Denver, CO
@
Denver
Nuggets
Spread
-4.5
12%
88%
Spread
Toronto Raptors +4.5
Denver Nuggets -4.5
Moneyline
Toronto Raptors +160
Denver Nuggets -192
Total
Over 230.5 (-108)
Under 230.5 (-112)
Who wins this game?
Professional Picks
4 available
Professional Picks On This Game
Rich Roth
Total pick
Cecil Cohen
Spread pick
Stevie Atlantic
Spread pick
Jon Dorsey
Spread pick
Raptors vs. Nuggets Prediction: Leonard's Absence Favors Denver, but the Price Is Too High
Analysis updated November 4, 2026 at 1:47 AM CST
Leonard's absence strengthens Denver's case as a 4.5-point home favorite, but the available evidence doesn't justify laying -192 on the moneyline.
Leonard's absence favors Denver
NBA.com and the Associated Press report that Kawhi Leonard will miss Toronto's November 4 visit to Denver after receiving treatment for swelling in his left knee. His absence supports Denver's status as the favorite, but no probable starters or other injury information are available to measure the full effect on the matchup.
SportsPicksForum lists Denver at -4.5 and -192 on the moneyline, with Toronto at +4.5 and +160. The total is 230.5, with the over at -112 and the under at -108. Denver is the likelier winner, but a -192 bet requires confidence that the Nuggets win often enough to cover the high price. The available evidence doesn't provide that confidence.
Heavy public support doesn't create value
Fade the Public Analytics, a betting-split tracker, reports that Denver has attracted 88% of moneyline bets and 73% of spread bets in its sample. Those figures describe one source's activity, not the entire market, and they don't supply a reason to follow the crowd at -192.
There are no confirmed starters, team records, season statistics or usable recent-form results for this matchup. That also leaves no sound basis for backing Toronto at +160, taking either side of the spread or betting the 230.5 total. Denver is the predicted winner, but the wager is a pass.
Pick
Denver Nuggets
Confidence
low
Betting lean
Pass