NBA Predictions

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets Predictions

Wednesday, November 4, 2026 at 8:30pm EST at Toyota Center (Houston), Houston, TX

Minnesota

Timberwolves

5-3
Spread +8.5
@
Houston

Rockets

7-1
Spread -8.5
50% 50%
Spread Minnesota Timberwolves +8.5 Houston Rockets -8.5
Moneyline Minnesota Timberwolves +251 Houston Rockets -310
Total Over 220.5 (-105) Under 220.5 (-115)

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Timberwolves vs. Rockets Prediction: Injuries Point to Houston, but the Spread Is a Pass

Analysis updated November 4, 2026 at 1:44 AM CST

Anthony Edwards and Donte DiVincenzo are out for Minnesota, while 7-1 Houston is an 8.5-point favorite.

Minnesota’s absences point to Houston

Action Network lists Anthony Edwards out with a knee injury and Donte DiVincenzo out with an Achilles injury. With two Minnesota guards unavailable, Houston is priced as an 8.5-point favorite and -310 on the moneyline.

The Rockets enter 7-1 after a 109-93 win over Boston on November 3, while the Timberwolves are 5-3. Those records and Minnesota’s injuries make Houston the likely winner, but they don’t make either price worth betting.

Houston’s frontcourt and schedule support a pass

Houston is on the second night of a back-to-back. Action Network lists Steven Adams out with a calf injury and Clint Capela questionable with an ankle injury, leaving the Rockets without a confirmed center rotation as they try to cover 8.5 points.

BettingPros, a betting analysis site, reported that 67% of its tracked public bets backed Houston while the spread moved from Rockets -9.5 to the current SPF price of -8.5. That ticket count doesn’t cover the entire market, and the movement isn’t a strong reason to lay the points.

Houston is the pick to win, but the moneyline is too expensive and the spread asks too much from a team playing on consecutive nights with frontcourt absences. Pass.

Pick Houston Rockets
Confidence low
Betting lean Pass
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