Utah
Jazz
1-6
Spread
+5.5
NBA Predictions
Utah Jazz vs New Orleans Pelicans Predictions
Wednesday, November 4, 2026 at 8:00pm EST at Smoothie King Center, New Orleans, LA
@
New Orleans
Pelicans
3-4
Spread
-5.5
50%
50%
Spread
Utah Jazz +5.5
New Orleans Pelicans -5.5
Moneyline
Utah Jazz +180
New Orleans Pelicans -217
Total
Over 234.5 (-110)
Under 234.5 (-110)
Who wins this game?
Professional Picks
2 available
Professional Picks On This Game
Kit Wilson
Spread pick
Matt O'Brien
Total pick
Utah Jazz vs. New Orleans Pelicans Prediction: Can Utah Slow the Pelicans in the Paint?
Analysis updated November 4, 2026 at 1:37 AM CST
New Orleans is favored by 5.5 points after three straight wins, but Utah won the teams’ first meeting by one.
New Orleans can attack Utah inside
The Utah Jazz / NBA.com preview reported that New Orleans averaged 62.6 paint points per game while taking just under 44 percent of its shots within four feet. Utah will be without Jaren Jackson Jr. and Jusuf Nurkic, and Mo Bamba is questionable with an ankle sprain. Those absences make the Pelicans’ interior scoring the clearest reason to consider New Orleans -5.5.
Utah entered at 1-6 after scoring fewer than 100 points in two straight games. The Jazz shot 35 percent in a 119-97 loss to San Antonio on Nov. 2 and ranked 29th in effective field-goal percentage at 48.7 percent. That recent shooting makes it harder for Utah to keep pace if New Orleans continues scoring efficiently near the rim.
The first meeting supports caution
Utah won the Oct. 23 matchup 120-119 despite committing 18 turnovers and allowing 64 paint points. The Jazz also won the rebounding battle 42-37, showing one way they can stay close even with New Orleans controlling the interior.
The New Orleans Pelicans / NBA.com injury report lists Yves Missi as out, with Trey Murphy III and Jordan Poole probable. Neither team’s previous-game lineup is confirmed for this matchup, so the spread carries more uncertainty than the moneyline price suggests.
Prediction and betting lean
SPF lists New Orleans as a 5.5-point home favorite and -217 on the moneyline, with Utah at +180. The Pelicans are the likelier winner after improving to 3-4 with three straight victories, but their one-point loss to Utah makes -217 unattractive.
New Orleans -5.5 is a low-confidence lean because Utah’s frontcourt injuries and poor shooting favor the Pelicans. The total is 234.5, but the available evidence doesn’t provide a strong reason to bet either side of it. No usable public-betting signal is available.
Pick
New Orleans Pelicans
Confidence
low
Betting lean
New Orleans Pelicans -5.5