MLB Predictions

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Detroit Tigers Predictions

Friday, September 25, 2026 at 6:40pm EST at Comerica Park, Detroit, Michigan

Pittsburgh

Pirates

81-78
Moneyline -101
@
Detroit

Tigers

74-85
Moneyline -119
50% 50%
Spread Pittsburgh Pirates -1.5 Detroit Tigers +1.5
Moneyline Pittsburgh Pirates -101 Detroit Tigers -119
Total Over 8 (-104) Under 8 (-115)
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Pirates vs. Tigers Prediction: Pass on Near Pick’em Price

Analysis updated September 25, 2026 at 7:08 AM CDT

The Pirates are the narrow pick to win at Detroit, but Pittsburgh at -109 offers no clear betting edge over the Tigers at -110.

Detroit’s pitching matchup narrows the gap

The Associated Press lists Pittsburgh right-hander Bubba Chandler and Detroit right-hander Jackson Jobe as the probable starters for the Sept. 25 series opener at Comerica Park. Chandler is 8-9 with a 4.34 ERA and 1.37 WHIP, while Jobe is 2-3 with a 3.98 ERA and 1.21 WHIP. Jobe’s lower ERA and WHIP help explain why Detroit is a slight -110 favorite despite its worse overall record.

Pittsburgh enters at 81-78, compared with Detroit at 74-85, but the teams’ location splits point in different directions. The Pirates are 37-41 on the road, and the Tigers are 40-38 at home. Pittsburgh’s better season record makes it the narrow choice to win, though not a strong enough one to justify laying -109.

Why the best wager is a pass

Detroit is 4-6 over its past 10 games, with a .267 batting average and 3.56 ERA during that stretch. Those results don’t provide a clear reason to back the Tigers at -110, while the probable pitching comparison makes Pittsburgh difficult to price as the better bet.

The total is 8, with the under at -118 and the over at -102. No confirmed lineup, bullpen availability, injury or weather information is available to support either side of that market. The same limitation applies to Pittsburgh -1.5 and Detroit +1.5 on the run line, so the wager is Pass.

Pick Pittsburgh Pirates
Confidence low
Betting lean Pass
Odds and availability can change. Confirm current markets before placing a wager.
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