Toronto
Blue Jays
77-80
Moneyline
+106
MLB Predictions
Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles Predictions
Wednesday, September 23, 2026 at 1:35pm EST
@
Baltimore
Orioles
76-81
Moneyline
-127
17%
83%
Spread
Toronto Blue Jays +1.5
Baltimore Orioles -1.5
Moneyline
Toronto Blue Jays +106
Baltimore Orioles -127
Total
Over 7 (-118)
Under 7 (-102)
Professional Picks
0 listed
Professional Picks On This Game
No professional picks are available for this matchup.
Blue Jays vs. Orioles Prediction: Bassitt's ERA Gives Baltimore the Edge
Analysis updated September 23, 2026 at 5:03 AM CDT
Baltimore is the tentative winner pick, but its probable-starter advantage doesn't establish value at -131.
Probable pitchers favor Baltimore
Chris Bassitt's 4.64 ERA gives Baltimore a starting point for its case as SPF's -131 favorite against Toronto on September 23. SportsGrid, a sports betting media outlet, lists Bassitt and Toronto's Max Scherzer as the probable starters for the 1:35 p.m. ET opener of the doubleheader. Scherzer enters with a 6.07 ERA.
That comparison favors the Orioles, though ERA alone can't establish whether their win probability clears the roughly 56.7% needed to break even at this price. SportsGrid lists Toronto at 77-80 and Baltimore at 76-81, so the team records offer little separation. Baltimore is a low-confidence winner pick; the moneyline wager is a pass.
Other markets
Toronto's +109 moneyline doesn't become a bargain simply because Baltimore is hard to price. There's no clear case for backing the underdog or asking the Orioles to cover SPF's -1.5 run line.
SPF sets the total at 7, with over -122 and under +102. The starters' ERAs warrant examining the over, but without confirmed lineups or bullpen availability, they don't support a total bet on their own. Pass on that market too.
Pick
Baltimore Orioles
Confidence
low
Betting lean
Pass