Chicago
White Sox
Moneyline
-112
MLB Predictions
Chicago White Sox vs Kansas City Royals Predictions
Wednesday, September 23, 2026 at 7:40pm EST at Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri
@
Kansas City
Royals
Moneyline
-107
50%
50%
Spread
Chicago White Sox -1.5
Kansas City Royals +1.5
Moneyline
Chicago White Sox -112
Kansas City Royals -107
Total
Over 8.5 (-107)
Under 8.5 (-113)
Who wins this game?
Professional Picks
4 available
Professional Picks On This Game
Tom Strickland
Total pick
Blake Mitchum
Total pick
Carlos Nunez
Money pick
Abe Howland
Money pick
White Sox vs. Royals Prediction: Fedde's ERA Edge Doesn't Settle the Bet
Analysis updated September 22, 2026 at 11:11 PM CDT
The probable pitchers favor a cautious Chicago pick. They don't establish value at the available price.
Probable pitchers give Chicago a slight edge
Erick Fedde's listed 3.90 ERA is lower than Seth Lugo's 5.06, the clearest reason to lean toward Chicago at SPF's -112 moneyline price. Chicago Sports Wire, a Chicago sports publication, lists the two right-handers as probable starters for September 23 at Kauffman Stadium and cautions that assignments can change.
That ERA comparison makes the White Sox a tentative winner pick, but it doesn't establish whether their chance of winning exceeds the roughly 52.8% needed to break even at -112. Without confirmed lineups or current bullpen information, the moneyline recommendation is Pass.
Total and run line
SPF lists the total at 8.5, with the over at -107 and under at -113. The pitchers' ERAs alone don't support a scoring forecast without lineup, bullpen and weather context, so neither side warrants a bet.
Chicago is -1.5 and Kansas City +1.5 on the run line. Run-line prices are unavailable, making that market a pass as well.
Pick
Chicago White Sox
Confidence
low
Betting lean
Pass