Cleveland Guardians vs Boston Red Sox Predictions

Pitching favors Boston, recent hitting favors Cleveland

Sonny Gray's season gives Boston a reason to be favored at SPF's -133 against Cleveland at +110. FOX Sports / Associated Press lists Gray as Boston's probable starter with a 2.82 ERA and 1.16 WHIP, compared with Cleveland probable starter Foster Griffin's 3.67 ERA and 1.19 WHIP. That pitching advantage makes Boston the tentative winner pick.

The same report shows Cleveland has won six straight and hit .265 over its last 10 games while going 8-2. Boston has hit .219 and gone 4-6 over that stretch despite a 3.03 team ERA. Those recent batting results temper the case for backing the favorite, but a 10-game sample doesn't establish value on Cleveland either. The moneyline decision is Pass.

Total: Pass at 7

SPF lists the total at 7, with over -117 and under -103. Both probable starters have ERAs below 3.70, but Boston's lineup still needs checking: FOX Sports / Associated Press lists Willson Contreras as day-to-day with a hand injury and Ceddanne Rafaela and Masataka Yoshida on the injured list. Contreras' status could change the assessment of Boston's scoring chances; there's no total wager here before that uncertainty is resolved.