Milwaukee Brewers vs Philadelphia Phillies Predictions

Pitching edge, uncertain value

Logan Henderson’s 2.51 ERA and 0.81 WHIP give Milwaukee the stronger probable starter against Philadelphia’s Aaron Nola, who has a 4.49 ERA and 1.35 WHIP. FOX Sports / Associated Press lists both pitchers as probable for Wednesday’s 6:40 p.m. EDT game in Philadelphia. That comparison favors the Brewers at SPF’s -145 moneyline, though neither starter is confirmed.

At -145, Milwaukee needs to win roughly 59.2% of the time to break even. The pitching numbers support picking the Brewers, but they don’t establish that win probability without a clearer view of the lineups and bullpen availability. Philadelphia’s +120 price doesn't establish value either. Pass on the wager.