MLB Predictions

Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles Predictions

Monday, September 21, 2026 at 6:35pm EST

Toronto

Blue Jays

Moneyline -110
@
Baltimore

Orioles

Moneyline -110
56% 44%
Spread Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 Baltimore Orioles +1.5
Moneyline Toronto Blue Jays -110 Baltimore Orioles -110
Total Over 7.5 (-105) Under 7.5 (-114)
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Blue Jays vs. Orioles: Baz's elbow status clouds the pitching matchup

Analysis updated September 21, 2026 at 5:03 AM CDT

Trey Yesavage has the lower ERA among the probable starters, while Baltimore brings more recent home-run power.

Probable pitchers and the price

Baltimore's probable starter Shane Baz is also listed day-to-day with an elbow issue, a key question before backing the Orioles at SPF's -112. FanDuel Research, FanDuel's sports analysis site, lists Baz with a 4.11 ERA opposite Toronto's Trey Yesavage at 3.65. Toronto is -107, but those ERAs alone don't establish a betting edge.

The same report lists Blue Jays first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as day-to-day with a back issue. His availability leaves Toronto's lineup unsettled, so neither the projected pitching matchup nor the Blue Jays' batting order should be treated as confirmed.

Recent power favors Baltimore

FanDuel Research reports that Baltimore has hit 14 home runs over its last 10 games to Toronto's nine, with a .394 slugging percentage against .376. Toronto has the higher batting average, .248 to .234, but that hasn't translated into more power during this stretch.

Pass on the moneyline. The available evidence doesn't support a reliable winner pick. SPF's total is 7.5, with over -115 and under -105; the recent hitting figures don't justify a total wager without a settled starting matchup.

Confidence low
Betting lean Pass
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