NFL Predictions

Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders Predictions

Sunday, September 13, 2026 at 4:25pm EST at Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV

Miami

Dolphins

Spread +3.5
@
Las Vegas

Raiders

Spread -3.5
50% 50%
Spread Miami Dolphins +3.5 Las Vegas Raiders -3.5
Moneyline Miami Dolphins +180 Las Vegas Raiders -218
Total Over 40.5 (-110) Under 40.5 (-110)

Who wins this game?

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Dolphins vs. Raiders: Bowers Out With Las Vegas Favored by 3.5

Analysis updated September 12, 2026 at 7:00 AM CDT

Bowers’ absence removes a receiving option for the favorite. It doesn't establish value on Miami.

Bowers misses the opener

Las Vegas must cover SPF’s 3.5-point spread without tight end Brock Bowers. The Las Vegas Raiders’ official injury report rules him out with a knee injury after he missed all three practices. His absence gives bettors a concrete concern about backing the favorite, but doesn't show how much to adjust the price.

The same report lists running back Ashton Jeanty as a full participant throughout the week, with no game-status designation. His ankle injury therefore doesn't carry the same availability concern as Bowers’ knee injury.

Betting decision: Pass

SPF lists Las Vegas at -218 and Miami at +180, making the Raiders the market’s likelier winner. Backing Las Vegas at that moneyline requires a win probability above roughly 68.6% to break even. The injury report alone doesn't justify that estimate or a Dolphins +3.5 wager.

The total is 40.5, with each side priced at -110. Bowers’ absence alone doesn't support a scoring projection, so the total is also a pass.

Confidence low
Betting lean Pass
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