MLB Predictions

Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Predictions

Sunday, September 13, 2026 at 1:35pm EST at Truist Park, Atlanta, Georgia

Philadelphia

Phillies

Moneyline +105
@
Atlanta

Braves

Moneyline -127
50% 50%
Spread Philadelphia Phillies +1.5 Atlanta Braves -1.5
Moneyline Philadelphia Phillies +105 Atlanta Braves -127
Total Over 9 (-106) Under 9 (-115)

Who wins this game?

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Phillies' Unsettled Starter Makes Braves -127 a Pass

Analysis updated September 12, 2026 at 11:05 PM CDT

Holmes is Atlanta's probable starter, while a report that Andrew Painter won't start leaves Philadelphia's pitching matchup unresolved.

Starting matchup remains unsettled

Philadelphia's starting-pitcher uncertainty makes Atlanta's -127 SPF moneyline difficult to assess. FOX Sports lists Andrew Painter as the Phillies' probable starter, but sports betting publication The Action Network reports that he won't start and could pitch in relief. A replacement isn't confirmed in those reports.

FOX Sports lists Atlanta's probable starter, Grant Holmes, at 9-5 with a 3.46 ERA. That makes the Braves a tentative winner pick, but comparing Holmes with Painter's 5.71 ERA wouldn't establish a betting edge if someone else starts for Philadelphia.

Betting outlook

SPF has Philadelphia at +105. Neither moneyline warrants a wager without a clearer view of the Phillies' pitching plan. The missing starter information doesn't make the underdog a bargain, and it doesn't justify paying for Atlanta.

The total is 9, with over -106 and under -115 at SPF. Philadelphia's opening assignment affects how to judge that number, so the total is also a pass.

Pick Atlanta Braves
Confidence low
Betting lean Pass
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