Atlanta
Falcons
Spread
+3
NFL Predictions
Atlanta Falcons vs Pittsburgh Steelers Predictions
Sunday, September 13, 2026 at 1:00pm EST at Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh, PA
@
Pittsburgh
Steelers
Spread
-3
50%
50%
Spread
Atlanta Falcons +3
Pittsburgh Steelers -3
Moneyline
Atlanta Falcons +145
Pittsburgh Steelers -175
Total
Over 41.5 (-115)
Under 41.5 (-105)
Who wins this game?
Professional Picks
5 available
Professional Picks On This Game
Tom Strickland
Total pick
Charles Avery
Spread pick
Percy Walker
Spread pick
Primetime Ryan Johnson
Spread pick
Casper Kohke
Total pick
Falcons vs. Steelers Prediction: Atlanta Turns to Cooper Rush Against Pittsburgh
Analysis updated September 12, 2026 at 6:54 AM CDT
Atlanta's quarterback absences favor Pittsburgh at home. They don't establish value at SPF's -175 moneyline or -3 spread.
Atlanta turns to Rush
Atlanta will start Cooper Rush at Pittsburgh, according to the Pittsburgh Steelers' official injury report. The Atlanta Falcons confirmed that Tua Tagovailoa is out with an oblique injury and Michael Penix Jr. is also out. Those absences make Pittsburgh the straight-up pick, with SPF listing the Steelers at -175 and favored by three points.
Atlanta also ruled out offensive tackle Cameron Williams, but that doesn't establish how much its protection will suffer. The Atlanta Falcons listed left tackle Jake Matthews for a rest day without a game designation, so Williams' absence shouldn't be read as a broader offensive line injury crisis.
Betting decision: Pass
Pittsburgh has uncertainty in its secondary. The Pittsburgh Steelers report lists cornerback Joey Porter Jr. as questionable with a back injury and confirms safety DeShon Elliott will miss at least four games. That weakens the case for betting on Pittsburgh to contain Rush, though it doesn't establish value on Atlanta at +3 or +145.
The available injury reports don't provide enough evidence to estimate Pittsburgh's winning margin or judge whether -175 is worth paying. Pass on the side. SPF's total is 41.5, with over -115 and under -105; without a supported scoring projection, the total is also a pass.
Pick
Pittsburgh Steelers
Confidence
low
Betting lean
Pass