Los Angeles
Dodgers
90-58
Moneyline
-156
MLB Predictions
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Miami Marlins Predictions
Sunday, September 13, 2026 at 1:40pm EST
@
Miami
Marlins
73-76
Moneyline
+129
50%
50%
Spread
Los Angeles Dodgers
Miami Marlins
Moneyline
Los Angeles Dodgers -156
Miami Marlins +129
Total
Over 8 (-120)
Under 8 (+100)
Professional Picks
2 listed
Professional Picks On This Game
Tom Strickland
Total pick
Blake Mitchum
Total pick
Dodgers vs. Marlins Prediction: Projected Pitching Matchup Tests Los Angeles at -156
Analysis updated September 13, 2026 at 5:17 AM CDT
Eury Pérez's lower ERA gives Miami a counter to the Dodgers' stronger scoring numbers. Los Angeles is the winner lean, with no recommended wager.
Pitching gives Miami a case
The Dodgers' -156 moneyline at SPF comes with a potential starting-pitching disadvantage. Sports betting publication Action Network lists Emmet Sheehan, with a 5.08 ERA, opposite Miami's Eury Pérez at 3.94. Both are projected starters, and ERA alone doesn't establish how they'll pitch in this matchup.
Los Angeles has the stronger offense by season scoring average. Sports betting site Covers lists the Dodgers at 4.98 runs per game and Miami at 4.43. Los Angeles also allows fewer runs, 3.82 per game to Miami's 4.40. Those season numbers make the Dodgers my lean to win.
Betting decision
At -156, Los Angeles needs to win about 60.9% of the time to break even. Covers lists Miami at 44-33 at home, another reason to resist pricing this game from the Dodgers' season advantage alone. I can't justify that win probability from these numbers, and Pérez's lower ERA doesn't by itself establish value on Miami at +129. Pass on the moneyline.
SPF's total is 8, with over -120 and under +100. Without confirmed lineups or bullpen availability, the season scoring averages don't support a total wager. Pass there as well.
Pick
Los Angeles Dodgers
Confidence
low
Betting lean
Pass