San Diego
Padres
Moneyline
-143
MLB Predictions
San Diego Padres vs San Francisco Giants Predictions
Sunday, September 13, 2026 at 7:20pm EST
@
San Francisco
Giants
Moneyline
+119
50%
50%
Spread
San Diego Padres -1.5
San Francisco Giants +1.5
Moneyline
San Diego Padres -143
San Francisco Giants +119
Total
Over 7.5 (+104)
Under 7.5 (-125)
Professional Picks
5 listed
Professional Picks On This Game
Kit Wilson
Money pick
Joe Napoli
Spread pick
Stevie March
Money pick
Simon Says
Money pick
Simon Says
Spread pick
Padres vs. Giants Prediction: Pivetta’s Lower ERA Isn’t Enough to Back San Diego
Analysis updated September 13, 2026 at 5:27 AM CDT
Nick Pivetta has the lower listed ERA, but just 21 innings behind it. That comparison alone doesn't justify backing the Padres at -131.
What the pitching numbers tell us
CBS Sports lists Nick Pivetta and Logan Webb as the probable starters for Sunday's game at Oracle Park. Pivetta has a 3.43 ERA in 21 innings; Webb has a 4.10 ERA in 155⅔ innings. Pivetta's smaller sample makes his lower ERA a weak basis for paying SPF's -131 price on San Diego.
SPF lists San Francisco at +108. The Padres' price requires a win probability of about 56.7% to break even, and these pitching figures don't establish that they clear that threshold. San Diego is the market favorite, but there's no supported winner pick here.
Injuries and the total
CBS Sports lists San Diego's Jason Adam, Miguel Andujar and Gavin Sheets, plus San Francisco's Willy Adames, Matt Gage and J.T. Brubaker, as expected to remain out beyond Sunday. Confirmed lineups aren't available, so the injury list alone doesn't establish which offense has the advantage.
SPF's total is 7, with over -108 and under -112. Without confirmed lineups or bullpen availability, the probable starters' ERAs don't support a total wager or a precise score projection. Betting lean: Pass.
Confidence
low
Betting lean
Pass