Texas
Rangers
79-80
Moneyline
-126
MLB Predictions
Texas Rangers vs Minnesota Twins Predictions
Friday, September 25, 2026 at 8:10pm EST at Target Field, Minneapolis, Minnesota
@
Minnesota
Twins
75-84
Moneyline
+105
50%
50%
Spread
Texas Rangers -1.5
Minnesota Twins +1.5
Moneyline
Texas Rangers -126
Minnesota Twins +105
Total
Over 7 (-114)
Under 7 (-106)
Professional Picks
3 listed
Professional Picks On This Game
Rangers vs. Twins Prediction: Jacob deGrom Gives Texas the Edge
Analysis updated September 25, 2026 at 7:27 AM CDT
Texas has the stronger probable starter, but its road record and Minnesota's recent pitching make the Rangers difficult to back at -112.
DeGrom favors Texas in a close market
FOX Sports / Associated Press lists Jacob deGrom as Texas' probable starter and Joe Ryan as Minnesota's. DeGrom has a 3.86 ERA, 1.10 WHIP and 196 strikeouts, compared with Ryan's 4.22 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 151 strikeouts. That difference makes the Rangers the more likely winner, but the starters remain probable rather than confirmed.
SPF prices Texas at -112 and Minnesota at -108. The narrow gap fits the teams' records: the Rangers are 79-80, while the Twins are 75-84. Texas' 34-44 road record and Minnesota's 40-38 home mark make it hard to find value on either side of an almost even moneyline.
Recent pitching supports a pass
Minnesota has recorded a 2.96 ERA over its past 10 games. Texas is 6-4 in that span with a plus-five run differential, but it has lost three straight and batted .219. Those mixed results weaken the case for laying -1.5 runs with the Rangers or betting Minnesota solely because it is the home underdog.
The total is 7.5, with the over at -115 and the under at -105. Minnesota's recent pitching and Texas' low batting average offer reasons to consider the under, but no bullpen data or confirmed lineups are available. Texas is the tentative winner behind deGrom, while the wager is a pass.
Pick
Texas Rangers
Confidence
low
Betting lean
Pass