Atlanta
Falcons
Spread
+4.5
NFL Predictions
Atlanta Falcons vs Green Bay Packers Predictions
Thursday, September 24, 2026 at 8:15pm EST
@
Green Bay
Packers
Spread
-4.5
50%
50%
Spread
Atlanta Falcons +4.5
Green Bay Packers -4.5
Moneyline
Atlanta Falcons +195
Green Bay Packers -238
Total
Over 42.5 (-115)
Under 42.5 (-105)
Professional Picks
12 listed
Professional Picks On This Game
Wes Salvato
Spread pick
Garrett Perry
Total pick
Don Williams
Total pick
Charles Avery
Total pick
Elijah Murtah
Spread pick
Eli Rothstein
Spread pick
Eli Rothstein
Total pick
Casper Kohke
Total pick
Chris Cohen
Spread pick
Scott Steele
Spread pick
Jason Manning
Spread pick
Robert Downes
Total pick
Falcons vs. Packers: Offensive Line Absences Test Green Bay at -4.5
Analysis updated September 24, 2026 at 7:21 AM CDT
The Packers will be without two offensive linemen and receiver Jayden Reed. Their injury report warrants caution, but it doesn't establish value on Atlanta.
Green Bay’s missing pieces
Green Bay must cover a 4.5-point spread without guard Aaron Banks, offensive lineman Zach Bako-Bewele and receiver Jayden Reed, all ruled out by NFL.com. Those absences reduce the Packers’ blocking and receiving options when SPF’s price requires a win by at least five points.
The Green Bay Packers’ team report confirms offensive linemen Anthony Belton and Donovan Jennings are available. That gives Green Bay options, though availability alone doesn't show how effectively the offensive line will play.
NFL.com also lists Packers defensive tackle Warren Brinson as out, with Anthony Campbell and Javon Hargrave questionable. Their final status matters to Green Bay’s defensive tackle rotation.
The betting decision
The Atlanta Falcons’ team report lists Michael Penix Jr. as a full participant in Wednesday’s estimated walkthrough, with Tua Tagovailoa available as his backup. Right tackle Jawaan Taylor is also available. Atlanta has its own defensive concerns: Samson Ebukam is out, and Billy Bowman Jr. is questionable.
Green Bay is the tentative winner pick, consistent with SPF’s -245 moneyline, but the injury reports don't establish that price as a worthwhile bet. Atlanta’s +4.5 and +200 aren't automatic bargains either. Pass on the spread and moneyline.
SPF lists the total at 42.5, with over -118 and under -102. Without evidence about scoring pace or offensive efficiency, these personnel updates don't justify either direction. Pass on the total.
Pick
Green Bay Packers
Confidence
low
Betting lean
Pass