NFL Predictions

New Orleans Saints vs Baltimore Ravens Predictions

Sunday, September 20, 2026 at 1:00pm EST at M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD

New Orleans

Saints

Spread +8.5
@
Baltimore

Ravens

Spread -8.5
50% 50%
Spread New Orleans Saints +8.5 Baltimore Ravens -8.5
Moneyline New Orleans Saints +295 Baltimore Ravens -375
Total Over 45.5 (-110) Under 45.5 (-110)

Who wins this game?

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Saints vs. Ravens Prediction: Flowers Out With Baltimore Favored by 8.5

Analysis updated September 20, 2026 at 5:15 AM CDT

Baltimore's receiving plans change without Zay Flowers, while Ronnie Stanley and John Simpson remain questionable.

Baltimore's offense faces lineup questions

Baltimore must cover SPF's 8.5-point spread without Zay Flowers. BaltimoreRavens.com, the team's official website, confirmed the receiver is out with a hamstring injury and said Rashod Bateman is expected to take the top receiver role. That puts more responsibility on the remaining receivers with the Ravens needing to win by at least nine points to cover.

NFL.com lists tackle Ronnie Stanley (toe) and guard John Simpson (groin) as questionable. BaltimoreRavens.com reports that Carson Vinson could make his first NFL start if Stanley can't play. The offensive line's makeup remains unsettled, adding another reason to hold off on backing Baltimore against the spread.

Pick and betting decision

The Saints have questions of their own. NFL.com lists receiver Chris Olave (hamstring) and edge rusher Chase Young (calf) as questionable. Their availability could affect New Orleans' passing options and its ability to test Baltimore's offensive line, so the Ravens' absences alone don't establish value on Saints +8.5.

Baltimore is the tentative winner pick, consistent with its status as SPF's -380 moneyline favorite. That price requires roughly a 79.2% win probability to break even, and the available matchup evidence doesn't establish that threshold. The betting lean is Pass, with no score projection or lean on the 45.5 total.

Pick Baltimore Ravens
Confidence low
Betting lean Pass
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