New York
Yankees
7-3
Moneyline
-126
MLB Predictions
New York Yankees vs Minnesota Twins Predictions
Monday, September 14, 2026 at 7:40pm EST
@
Minnesota
Twins
Moneyline
+105
50%
50%
Spread
New York Yankees -1.5
Minnesota Twins +1.5
Moneyline
New York Yankees -126
Minnesota Twins +105
Total
Over 8 (-116)
Under 8 (-103)
Professional Picks
10 listed
Professional Picks On This Game
Tom Strickland
Total pick
Kit Wilson
Spread pick
Kit Wilson
Total pick
Blake Mitchum
Total pick
Diamond Ray James
Spread pick
Jonah Black
Total pick
Dave Vernin
Spread pick
Simon Says
Money pick
Wes Salvato
Spread pick
Garrett Perry
Total pick
Yankees vs. Twins prediction: Run prevention favors New York
Analysis updated September 14, 2026 at 5:07 AM CDT
The Yankees have allowed 1.30 fewer runs per game than the Twins, the clearest edge in Monday's matchup at Target Field.
The pitching edge
New York's run prevention makes it the likely winner, but SPF's -142 moneyline requires a win probability above 58.7% to break even. Covers, a sports betting publication, lists the Yankees at 3.70 runs allowed per game against Minnesota's 5.00. Their scoring averages are much closer: 4.54 for New York and 4.58 for Minnesota.
StatMuse, a sports statistics site, lists Will Warren and Dean Kremer as the probable starters. Warren's 4.05 ERA is lower than Kremer's 5.65, though Kremer has the better WHIP, 1.30 to 1.36. That supports a New York pitching advantage without making this an obvious mismatch.
Betting decision
StatMuse lists Jazz Chisholm Jr., Trent Grisham and Giancarlo Stanton on New York's injured list, along with Minnesota's Byron Buxton. Royce Lewis and Kaelen Culpepper are day-to-day. Those absences and unresolved lineup spots limit confidence in either offense. Pick the Yankees to win, but pass on the moneyline; the available evidence doesn't establish an edge over the price.
SPF sets the total at 8.5, with over -108 and under -112. Without confirmed lineups, weather or bullpen availability, pass on the total. The Yankees -1.5 and Twins +1.5 run lines also get a pass because their prices are unavailable.
Pick
New York Yankees
Confidence
medium
Betting lean
Pass