MLB Predictions

Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland Guardians Predictions

Monday, September 14, 2026 at 6:40pm EST

Chicago

White Sox

Moneyline +134
@
Cleveland

Guardians

Moneyline -162
14% 86%
Spread Chicago White Sox +1.5 Cleveland Guardians -1.5
Moneyline Chicago White Sox +134 Cleveland Guardians -162
Total Over 7 (-102) Under 7 (-119)
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White Sox vs. Guardians: Williams' Strikeouts Meet Newcomb's 2.77 ERA

Analysis updated September 14, 2026 at 5:01 AM CDT

Cleveland gets a narrow winner lean behind Williams. That doesn't establish a worthwhile bet at SPF's price.

The probable starters shape the price

Gavin Williams' strikeout production is the strongest case for Cleveland at SPF's -149 moneyline against Chicago (+123). Sports statistics site StatMuse lists Williams and White Sox left-hander Sean Newcomb as the probable starters: Williams has 228 strikeouts in 169 innings, compared with Newcomb's 78 in 84⅓ innings.

Newcomb counters with a 2.77 ERA, below Williams' 3.78. Williams has sustained his strikeout production over roughly twice as many innings, but that larger workload doesn't establish how long either pitcher will last Monday. Cleveland is the narrow winner pick; the moneyline wager is Pass.

Availability matters for the total

StatMuse lists Cleveland's Rhys Hoskins on the 10-day injured list with a back injury and Chase DeLauter as day-to-day with a hamstring injury. Chicago's Tommy Pham is on the 10-day injured list with a calf injury. DeLauter's status leaves a lineup question unresolved.

SPF sets the total at 7, with over -102 and under -118. The pitchers' ERAs alone don't justify paying for the under without confirmed lineups and a clearer view of bullpen availability. Pass on the total.

Pick Cleveland Guardians
Confidence low
Betting lean Pass
Odds and availability can change. Confirm current markets before placing a wager.
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