Atlanta Braves vs Chicago Cubs Predictions
Monday, September 14, 2026 at 7:40pm EST
Cubs
Professional Picks On This Game
Braves vs. Cubs Prediction: López Has Lower ERA, but Moneyline Is a Pass
Analysis updated September 14, 2026 at 5:05 AM CDT
The probable pitching matchup raises a question about Chicago’s favorite status without establishing a worthwhile bet on Atlanta.
Pitching and price
Atlanta’s Reynaldo López brings a 4.13 ERA into a probable matchup with Chicago’s David Peterson, who has a 5.28 ERA. FOX Sports lists the right-hander and left-hander as the expected starters at Wrigley Field on September 14, with first pitch at 7:40 p.m. ET. Despite that ERA gap, SPF prices the Cubs at -134 and the Braves at +111.
ERA alone doesn’t establish either pitcher’s advantage against tonight’s lineup. Chicago’s price requires a win probability of about 57.3% to break even; Atlanta’s requires about 47.4%. The pitching figures don’t provide a reliable estimate of either team’s chances, so the moneyline recommendation is Pass, with no winner selected.
Recent results
FOX Sports records three Atlanta wins and two Chicago wins over their respective past five games. Both clubs had a 12-2 victory in that stretch and lost on September 13. Those brief runs offer little reason to favor one offense in this matchup.