Houston
Astros
74-71
Moneyline
+134
MLB Predictions
Houston Astros vs Philadelphia Phillies Predictions
Wednesday, September 9, 2026 at 6:40pm EST at Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
@
Philadelphia
Phillies
81-64
Moneyline
-162
50%
50%
Spread
Houston Astros +1.5
Philadelphia Phillies -1.5
Moneyline
Houston Astros +134
Philadelphia Phillies -162
Total
Over 8 (-115)
Under 8 (-105)
Professional Picks
10 listed
Professional Picks On This Game
Tom Strickland
Spread pick
Tom Strickland
Total pick
Wes Salvato
Total pick
Blake Mitchum
Total pick
Joe Napoli
Spread pick
Stevie March
Total pick
Vic Diamante
Total pick
Jonah Black
Spread pick
Carlos Nunez
Spread pick
Abe Howland
Money pick
Astros vs. Phillies Prediction: Sánchez Gives Philadelphia the Edge
Analysis updated September 9, 2026 at 5:07 AM CDT
Sánchez has the lower ERA, but two capable probable starters make under 8 more appealing than Philadelphia’s -162 moneyline.
The pitching matchup
Cristopher Sánchez’s 2.58 ERA gives Philadelphia the edge over Houston and probable starter Hunter Brown, who carries a 3.31 ERA. SPF lists the Phillies at -162 and the Astros at +134. Philadelphia is the winner pick, but that price requires a win rate of about 61.8% to break even, a threshold these pitching numbers alone don’t establish.
FOX Sports / Associated Press lists both pitchers as probable. Sánchez also has the lower WHIP, 1.20 to Brown’s 1.30, suggesting he has been better at keeping runners off base. Their availability remains unconfirmed.
Under 8 is the lean
The same report shows Philadelphia with a 2.40 ERA over its last 10 games and Houston at 3.00. Both clubs hit below .230 during that stretch. Those results, alongside the probable starters’ season ERAs, support a modest lean to under 8 at SPF’s -105.
Houston’s power is the main counterweight: Yordan Alvarez has 38 home runs and a .311 average, while Yainer Díaz has three homers in his last 10 games. Confirmed lineups, bullpen availability and weather aren’t available, so confidence in the total stays low.
Pick
Philadelphia Phillies
Confidence
low
Betting lean
Under 8 (-105)