Chicago
Cubs
Moneyline
+112
MLB Predictions
Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers Predictions
Wednesday, September 9, 2026 at 7:40pm EST at American Family Field, Milwaukee, Wisconsin
@
Milwaukee
Brewers
Moneyline
-135
50%
50%
Spread
Chicago Cubs +1.5
Milwaukee Brewers -1.5
Moneyline
Chicago Cubs +112
Milwaukee Brewers -135
Total
Over 8 (-105)
Under 8 (-115)
Professional Picks
9 listed
Professional Picks On This Game
Tom Strickland
Money pick
Wes Salvato
Total pick
Kit Wilson
Spread pick
Blake Mitchum
Money pick
Blake Mitchum
Total pick
Joe Napoli
Total pick
Jonah Black
Spread pick
Carlos Nunez
Money pick
Carlos Nunez
Total pick
Cubs vs. Brewers: Henderson’s ERA Edge Meets a -135 Price
Analysis updated September 9, 2026 at 5:16 AM CDT
Milwaukee gets the winner lean behind its probable starter. Whether that makes the Brewers worth backing is a separate question.
Henderson gives Milwaukee the edge
MLB.com lists Logan Henderson and Kevin Gausman as the probable starters, with Henderson carrying a 2.48 ERA against Gausman’s 4.38. That gap favors Milwaukee, but SPF’s -135 moneyline requires a win probability above 57.4% to break even. Chicago is +112.
MLB.com’s game preview notes that Henderson allowed two earned runs over seven innings with seven strikeouts in his last start against Chicago. Gausman struck out nine over seven innings against Milwaukee on September 3. His outing offers a reason not to judge this matchup solely by the season ERA gap, though those innings and strikeouts don’t establish how well he prevented runs.
Unconfirmed lineups leave the wager unresolved
Both starting lineups remained TBD on MLB.com. Its Cubs injury report lists Ian Happ as day-to-day with right-foot soreness and Dansby Swanson on the 10-day injured list with a left side/oblique strain. Happ’s availability matters to Chicago’s batting order, but that uncertainty alone doesn’t make either moneyline a bargain.
The pick is Pass. The pitching results support a Milwaukee winner lean without establishing the win probability needed to back -135. SPF’s total is 8, with over -105 and under -115; the two recent starts alone don’t justify a total bet.
Pick
Milwaukee Brewers
Confidence
low
Betting lean
Pass