Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Predictions

Pitching edge and betting view

Payton Tolle's 3.23 ERA against Kyle Bradish's 4.01 gives Boston a reason to be favored at SPF's -136 moneyline price. MLB.com lists the left-handed Tolle and right-handed Bradish as the probable starters for Sunday's 1:35 p.m. EDT game at Camden Yards, with both assignments subject to change.

Boston is the tentative winner pick, but that ERA comparison alone doesn't establish the roughly 57.6% win probability needed to break even at -136. MLB.com hadn't posted either starting lineup at the time of the report. Pass on the moneyline; Baltimore's +113 price doesn't establish value on the other side.

SPF lists the total at 8.5, with over +104 and under -126. Without posted batting orders or information about bullpen availability, the starters' ERAs aren't enough to support a total wager. Pass.