New York
Yankees
Moneyline
-142
MLB Predictions
New York Yankees vs Minnesota Twins Predictions
Monday, September 14, 2026 at 7:40pm EST at Target Field, Minneapolis, Minnesota
@
Minnesota
Twins
Moneyline
+118
50%
50%
Spread
New York Yankees -1.5
Minnesota Twins +1.5
Moneyline
New York Yankees -142
Minnesota Twins +118
Total
Over 8.5 (-108)
Under 8.5 (-112)
Who wins this game?
Professional Picks
9 available
Professional Picks On This Game
Tom Strickland
Total pick
Kit Wilson
Spread pick
Kit Wilson
Total pick
Mike Millen
Money pick
Blake Mitchum
Total pick
Jonah Black
Total pick
Carlos Nunez
Spread pick
Dave Vernin
Spread pick
Wes Salvato
Spread pick
Yankees vs. Twins prediction: Pitching favors New York, but the bet is a pass
Analysis updated September 13, 2026 at 11:05 PM CDT
Will Warren has the lower ERA in the probable pitching matchup at Target Field. That favors New York, but it doesn't establish value at SPF's -142 price.
The pitching edge
The Yankees get the nod with Will Warren listed opposite Dean Kremer for Monday's game. StatMuse, a sports statistics site, lists Warren as the probable starter with a 4.05 ERA, compared with Kremer's 5.65. SPF prices New York at -142, requiring roughly a 58.7% win rate to break even.
FOX Sports reports a broader pitching advantage: New York has a 3.24 team ERA against Minnesota's 4.69. The offenses are closer in scoring, with the Twins averaging 4.6 runs per game and the Yankees 4.5. Those numbers support picking New York, but don't establish that its win probability clears the price.
Betting outlook
Wager on Weather, a sports weather forecast site, projects likely showers and thunderstorms, with a 73% rain chance around the first inning and gusts up to 32 mph. A lengthy delay could shorten either starter's outing, reducing the weight of the probable pitching matchup.
Pass on the wager. Minnesota's +118 moneyline isn't justified merely by those concerns, and the gusty crosswind doesn't give a clear direction for SPF's 8.5 total.
Pick
New York Yankees
Confidence
low
Betting lean
Pass