New England Patriots vs Seattle Seahawks Predictions
Wednesday, September 9, 2026 at 8:20pm EST at Lumen Field, Seattle, WA
Seahawks
Professional Picks On This Game
Patriots vs. Seahawks Prediction: Injuries Don't Justify a Bet at Seattle -3.5
Analysis updated September 9, 2026 at 5:19 AM CDT
Henderson's absence reduces New England's backfield options, but Seattle's safety injuries make the availability picture mixed.
What the injuries mean for the spread
New England will be without running back TreVeyon Henderson, but its starting offensive line remains intact, according to the New England Patriots. The club identifies injured center Ben Brown as a backup. Those absences reduce depth without requiring a change to the starting offensive line, a distinction that matters when assessing Seattle's 3.5-point favoritism at SPF.
The Seattle Seahawks report that safety Ty Okada is out with a hamstring injury and safety Nick Emmanwori is questionable with an ankle injury. Wide receiver Tory Horton is also questionable with a hamstring injury. Seattle could be missing two safeties, but that possibility alone doesn't establish an advantage for New England's passing game.
Betting decision
SPF prices Seattle at -175 and New England at +145, making the Seahawks the market's more likely winner. The injury reports don't establish how these teams compare closely enough to endorse either moneyline or spread. New England +3.5 covers a three-point loss, but there's no supported projection that makes that outcome especially likely. Pass.
The total is 44.5, with both sides at -110. Without evidence about scoring efficiency or pace, the reported absences don't justify an over or under bet.