New England
Patriots
Spread
-7
NFL Predictions
New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins Predictions
Sunday, November 1, 2026 at 4:25pm EST at Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL
@
Miami
Dolphins
Spread
+7
95%
5%
Spread
New England Patriots -7
Miami Dolphins +7
Moneyline
New England Patriots -305
Miami Dolphins +245
Total
Over 41.5 (-108)
Under 41.5 (-112)
Who wins this game?
Professional Picks
13 available
Professional Picks On This Game
Wes Salvato
Spread pick
Wes Salvato
Total pick
Garrett Perry
Total pick
King Jon Sanderson
Total pick
Don Williams
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Eli Rothstein
Total pick
Primetime Ryan Johnson
Spread pick
Franny DiStefano
Spread pick
Chris Cohen
Total pick
Jason Manning
Spread pick
Bryan Pratt
Spread pick
Bryan Pratt
Total pick
Ryan Bowland
Total pick
Patriots vs. Dolphins Prediction: New England Favored, but Injuries Cloud the Spread
Analysis updated November 1, 2026 at 7:28 AM CST
The Patriots are the likelier winner, but their missing offensive players make New England -7 difficult to justify.
Patriots have the edge, but not a clear bet
SportsPicksForum lists New England as a seven-point road favorite and -340 on the moneyline, with Miami at +270. Those prices make the Patriots the likely winner, but neither offers clear value without team-form or matchup statistics to support the gap.
The Patriots will be without wide receiver A.J. Brown, running back TreVeyon Henderson and tackle Marcus Bryant, according to the New England Patriots' official injury report. Those absences matter when New England must win by more than seven points to cash its spread. Miami guard/tackle Kadyn Proctor is also out, so the injury report doesn't point in only one direction.
Quarterbacks are cleared to play
New England quarterback Drake Maye was a full participant Friday after appearing on the report with a right-shoulder issue and received no game designation. Miami quarterback Malik Willis was also a full participant and received no designation after dealing with a groin issue.
The Football Database forecasts 74-degree weather, a 6 mph wind and no rain at Hard Rock Stadium. Those mild conditions provide little reason to favor either side or the 43.5-point total.
Public support does not settle the spread
Wise Guy Team, a betting-information site, reported that 84% of DraftKings spread tickets and 89% of spread money backed New England -7. It also reported 95% of moneyline tickets on the Patriots. Those sportsbook-specific figures show heavy public interest in New England, but they don't establish that either side is mispriced.
New England is the pick to win, but the available evidence doesn't support laying seven points or taking Miami solely because the Patriots are popular. Pass on the spread and total.
Pick
New England Patriots
Confidence
low
Betting lean
Pass